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FiveThirtyEight Politics

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FiveThirtyEight Politics

The Hidden Stories In The U.S. Census

The U.S. Census may be the most consequential data set in America. It determines how political...

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Polls Haven't Been This Accurate Since At Least 1998

Polling had its most accurate election cycle in at least 25 years in 2022. The crew explains the...

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Few Americans Think AI Will Do More Good Than Harm

Galen Druke and Nate Silver open up the mailbag and answer listener questions about politics and...

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The Poll That Ended Dilbert

Author Marianne Williamson officially entered the 2024 Democratic presidential primary on...

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Why The Federal Reserve's Power Is 'Limitless'

American government is designed to have components that are not directly accountable to the...

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How The War In Ukraine Could Go Nuclear

To mark a year since Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine, Galen Druke brings back two experts...

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What We Know About Kyrsten Sinema's Odds Of Reelection

It's a busy week! The crew looks at what Americans think about aid to Ukraine one year on, how...

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Could Nikki Haley Actually Win The GOP Nomination?

This week Nikki Haley became the first major candidate to challenge former President Donald Trump...

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American Opinion Of China Has Plummeted

The U.S. shot down at least three unidentified flying objects over the weekend. We’re still...

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Biden's Second State Of The Union Was His First Campaign Speech

President Biden delivered his second State of the Union address on Tuesday to a newly divided...

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How Our 2022 Forecasts Actually Did

In this installment of "Model Talk," Nate and Galen discuss a recently published assessment of...

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The Politics Of Loneliness

Americans are spending more and more time alone, and more than a third reported experiencing...

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There Are Some Big Elections Happening In 2023

Although much of our elections-related attention is already trained on 2024, there are...

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Baby Boomers' Strength Was In Their Numbers. That's Changing.

In his new book "Aftermath: The Last Days of the Baby Boom and the Future of Power in America,"...

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What The Debt Ceiling And George Santos's Career Have In Common

The crew discusses how debates on both the debt ceiling and the future of Rep. George Santos’s...

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California's Senate Primary Is Going To Be A Doozy

Over the weekend, the White House announced that five more classified documents from the Obama...

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There Has To Be A Better Way To Pick Presidential Nominees ... Right?

As we head into the new year and our attention begins to turn to the presidential primaries, we...

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What The Speakership Vote Tells Us About The GOP

The crew looks at why it took 15 votes to get Rep. Kevin McCarthy elected House Speaker and what...

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How The Primary System Has Shaped Our Politics

Happy holidays! As we head into the new year and our attention begins to turn to the presidential...

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Our Presidential Primary System Is An Accident

Happy holidays! As we head into the new year and our attention begins to turn to the presidential...

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