FiveThirtyEight Politics

Our Presidential Primary System Is An Accident

Happy holidays! As we head into the new year and our attention begins to turn to the presidential...

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The Politics Of Prosecuting Trump

As the House Select Committee for Jan. 6 publishes its final report, the crew considers what the...

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What I Learned From The 2022 Midterms

Editor Chadwick Matlin turns the tables on Galen Druke and asks him questions about what he’s...

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Is There A Political Realignment Among Latino Voters?

As the broader electorate shifted left in 2020, compared to 2016, Latino voters shifted 8...

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How Democrats Won The Georgia Runoff

The crew reacts to Senator Raphael Warnock's win in the Georgia Senate runoff. Learn more...

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Warnock Has The Edge In A Close Race

Galen speaks with Atlanta Journal Constitution reporters Tia Mitchell and Greg Bluestein about...

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Is Democracy All Good Now?

Galen speaks with reporter Kaleigh Rogers about how candidates who denied the legitimacy of the...

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If Biden Doesn't Run In 2024, Who Will?

Election Day in Georgia is just a week away, so the crew shook off their turkey hangover to talk...

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How The '90s Shaped Today's GOP

Galen Druke talks to Nicole Hemmer about her new book, "Partisans: The Conservative...

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Emergency Podcast: Will Trump Win The GOP Nomination?

Galen and Nate react to former President Trump's entrance into the 2024 presidential race and...

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Why Democrats Beat Historical Trends In 2022

Galen and Nate discuss the state of uncalled races, what let to a good night for Democrats and...

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When We Could Know The Results In The House And Senate

Two days after Election Day, control of the U.S. House and Senate still hangs in the balance as...

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The Red Wave Didn't Happen

In this late-night installment of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, Nate Silver and Galen...

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The Final Pre-Midterm Model Talk

Hours before we freeze the FiveThirtyEight midterm forecast tonight, it shows that Republicans...

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The Issues Worth $9 Billion In Ad Spending

The crew previews what to expect on Election Day and listens to some of the most common types of...

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How Do All These Republican Polls Affect The Model?

Recent polls have sent some contradictory messages, but the long and short of it is that seven...

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The Pennsylvania Senate Race Is On A Knife’s Edge

With one week left until Election Day, the crew analyzes some of the high-profile races and which...

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Live From D.C. … This Is Model Talk

In this live taping of Model Talk in Washington, D.C., Nate and Galen break down the current...

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How A College Education Divides American Voters

The crew discusses how much the two parties are spending on campaign ads and if it could factor...

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Don’t Obsess Over The Crosstabs!

Galen and Nate discuss the reasons for Republicans' improvement in the forecast. They also...

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