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FiveThirtyEight Politics

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FiveThirtyEight Politics

The Polls And Pundits Disagree (Again)

In this installment of "Model Talk," Nate Silver and Galen Druke discuss what to make of the...

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Americans Aren’t Happy With Biden. Or Republicans.

Nate Cohn, the chief political analyst at The New York Times, joins the crew to discuss the...

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Will Democrats Continue To Win In Georgia In 2022?

In the 2020 election cycle, Georgia found itself at the center of the American political...

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The Supreme Court Episode

With the data from the most recent term in hand, the crew discusses how far to the right the...

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Does DeSantis's Strength Spell Trouble For Trump?

The crew plays an Independence Day-inspired statistics game and discusses how the most recent...

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The 2022 Forecast Is Live And ‘Model Talk’ Returns!

The FiveThirtyEight 2022 midterms forecast is live, and it shows that Republicans are strong...

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What The Politics Of Abortion Look Like Now

The crew discusses the political fallout from the Supreme Court’s decision to overturn Roe v....

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Emergency Podcast: Supreme Court Overturns Roe v. Wade

Legal reporter Amelia Thomson-DeVeaux speaks with Galen Druke about the Justices' arguments for...

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Are 1 Percent Of Americans Evil?

The crew breaks down a poll that asked Americans to identify from good to evil and lawful to...

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More Trouble For Democrats In The Rio Grande Valley

Republican Mayra Flores won the special election in Texas’s 34th congressional district on...

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Are Centrists The Most Powerful Politicians?

The crew discusses how a bipartisan gun control deal was reached and if this unwritten...

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Were The California Primaries A Blow To The Progressive Movement?

The crew breaks down the results of the June 7 primaries. Overall, more moderate candidates were...

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The Democratic Divides In California

The crew previews California’s primaries, which offer unique insight into the divides within the...

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Are Democrats Actually In Disarray?

The crew debates whether the Democratic Party really is actually in disarray as it struggles to...

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Trump's Revenge Primary In Georgia Fails

The crew discusses the results of the primary elections in Georgia, Texas, Alabama, Arkansas and...

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Are Trump's Endorsees About To Lose In Georgia?

The crew previews Tuesday's primaries in Georgia as well as contests in Arkansas, Alabama, Texas...

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What Tuesday's Primaries Could Mean For November

The crew reacts to the results in Tuesday’s primaries in Pennsylvania, North Carolina, Idaho,...

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Who Will Win The GOP's Senate Primary In Pennsylvania?

The crew discusses the races to watch in Tuesday night's primaries in Pennsylvania, North...

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The Politics Of Anti-Critical Race Theory Laws

Since January 2021, eleven states have enacted laws that limit how teachers can talk about race...

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How The Fight Over Abortion Will Play Out In Red States

The crew discusses the various types of legislation different states may adopt if Roe v. Wade is...

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